Matt Fargo takes a brief look at each game this Sunday and offers some thoughts and trends.
CINCINNATI AT BALTIMORE 1 p.m.
This is Cincinnati’s last game before their bye week. The Bengals sit atop the AFC North thanks to an easy schedule in which all six of their wins have come against teams that now have a combined 12-31 record. They host the Colts in two weeks. Trendsetter: CINCINNATI is 6-0 Over after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.
The Ravens are coming off a single-point loss Monday. This is the second of four divisional games in a five-game stretch, all against Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. The offense scored the most points this season against the Steelers on Monday. Trendsetter: BALTIMORE is 9-1 Over in second-half home games over the past 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE IN CLEVELAND 1 p.m.
Tennessee has lost three straight games and the defense has allowed 31 or more points in five of its eight games. The Titans have a bye next week and will then play four of their next five games at home. Trendsetter: TENNESSEE is 5-13 ATS against conference opponents in the past 2 seasons.
Cleveland has also lost three straight games and gave the Texans their first win of the season last Sunday. The offense has scored 16 or fewer points in five of its seven games, while the defense has allowed 19 or fewer in five straight games. Trendsetter: CLEVELAND is 10-2 fewer in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the past 3 seasons.
HOUSTON AT JACKSONVILLE 1 p.m.
Houston finally got into the win column last Sunday, but it might be the only one for a while, as its next three games come against teams with winning records. The Texans defense tied the season low by allowing just 16 points against the Browns. Trendsetter: HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS after losing 5 of its last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.
Jacksonville allowed 20-plus points for the first time last week in St. Louis and it was their first loss of the season where the offense scored in the 20’s. The Jaguars host the Ravens next week before embarking on a three-game road trip. Trendsetter: JACKSONVILLE is 13-2 under after allowing 175 or more rushing yards in the last game since 1992.
OAKLAND IN KANSAS CITY 1 pm
The Raiders won for the first time on the road last week at Tennessee and have now won three of their last four games to move one game under .500. This is the second game of a five-in-seven road game streak after playing three straight home games. Trendsetter: OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 4-5 of its last 6 games dating to 1992.
The Chiefs have two straight road games and follow this game up with two more on the road before finishing the season four of six at home. The loss in San Diego snapped a two-game winning streak and moved them 1.5 games behind Denver. Trendsetter: KANSAS CITY is 19-8 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in its last game since 1992.
ATLANTA IN MIAMI 1 pm
Atlanta didn’t have a bye week that was good for rest, but it ended the momentum of a 4-1 winning streak. The Falcons are tied three-way in the NFC South with two straight home games after this one, including a game with Tampa Bay. Trendsetter: ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS after playing one home game over the past 2 seasons.
The Dolphins won for the first time on the road last Sunday in New Orleans and are now just one game behind the Patriots in the AFC East. Miami hosts New England next Sunday before participating in two consecutive road games outside the division. Trendsetter: MIAMI is 10-1 after playing its last road game in the past 2 seasons.
DETROIT IN MINNESOTA 1 pm
The Lions suffered a tough overtime home loss last week against the Bears, who took first place in the NFC North. Detroit has allowed 21 or fewer points in five straight games, but the offense has scored 20 or fewer in four of those games. Trendsetter: DETROIT is 2-13 ATS as a road favorite with 7 or fewer points since 1992.
The Vikings’ season took a turn for the worse when Dante Culpepper was out for the remainder of the season with a knee injury. The Vikings’ two wins have come against teams with a combined 3-12 record, but a win against Detroit could move them to a first-place game. Trendsetter: MINNESOTA is 18-5 ATS as a home underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA IN TAMPA BAY 1 pm
The Panthers have won four straight games and their two losses have been by just three points each. Carolina has played the easiest schedule in the NFL thus far, but it gets tougher with six of its last nine games against teams with winning records. Trendsetter: CAROLINA is 8-1 in road games with a home win over the past 3 seasons.
Tampa Bay was caught looking ahead or just not that great of a team after their loss in San Francisco. Three of their next four games are at home before a brutal three-game road trip that begins in December. Defense still ranks first in the NFL. Trendsetter: TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite since 1992.
SAN DIEGO AT NEW YORK JETS 1 pm
San Diego will seek revenge on the Jets for last season’s overtime playoff loss. The Chargers have won four of their last six games, and all four of their losses this season have been by four points or less. They have a goodbye next week. Trendsetter: SAN DIEGO is 10-1 ATS in road games over the past 2 seasons.
The Jets haven’t played at home since an Oct. 9 win over Tampa Bay. The offense is shaky, having scored 17 or fewer points in six of its seven games this season. New York is 4-0 and is coming off a bye week under Herm Edwards. Trendsetter: NY JETS are 8-1 after being outscored for 75 or more yards in the last game over the past 3 seasons.
CHICAGO AT NEW ORLEANS 4:05 pm
The Bears have won three straight games and now stand alone in first place in the NFC North. The win over Detroit last Sunday was the first on the road this season and was the first game in which the offense had scored more than 10 points on the road. Trendsetter: CHICAGO is 14-2 fewer in road games against teams that have given up 24 points per game or more since 1992.
New Orleans has lost four straight games and six of its last seven. The defense allowed fewer than 28 points for the first time in four games and the Saints caught a breather with the offensively challenged Bears entering. New Orleans has a goodbye next week. Trendsetter: NEW ORLEANS is 10-23 ATS in home games after losing 4 or 5 of its last 6 games dating to 1992.
SEATTLE IN ARIZONA 4:05 pm
Seattle is coming off a bye week after winning three straight to take a 1.5-game lead in the NFC West. The Seahawks alternate home and road games for the remainder of the season with six of the remaining nine games coming against teams under .500. Trendsetter: SEATTLE is 8-0 Over when playing a team with a losing record in the last 2 seasons.
The Cardinals are three games behind the Seahawks and a loss here will likely end any chance of a division title. Arizona is 1-2 at home with both losses by five points or less and both falling in the last minute. Three of his next four are on tour. Trendsetter: ARIZONA is 8-1 over avenging a road loss against an opponent in the past 3 seasons.
NEW YORK GIANTS IN SAN FRANCISCO 4:05 pm
New York took the lead in the NFC East with a blowout of the Redskins last week. This is a sandwich game after two home games with two more home games on the line. Tampa Bay was caught sleeping last week and the Giants must avoid disappointment. Trendsetter: NY GIANTS are 0-9 ATS vs. poor offensive teams – average